An Asteroid with Rings

An international team of astronomers has used telescopes at seven locations in South America to make a surprise discovery in the outer Solar System. h/t to Spaceweather.com

The announcement today was of the discovery of rings around the asteroid Chariklo is a surprise and it joins four other much larger bodies (Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus and Neptune) in the solar system known to have rings.

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Challenging Arrhenius Again

Posted on behalf of Peter Morcombe

Consensus climate scientists contend that the GHE (Greenhouse Effect) amounts to 33oC.  My definition of the GHE is the change in the average temperature of a planetary body that can be attributed to its atmosphere.  In an earlier post the theories of respectable climate scientists such as Scott Denning were compared to the theories mavericks such as Nikolov & Zeller.

The two sides agree that Earth’s average temperature is ~288 Kelvin.  However they can’t agree about the temperature of an airless Earth, so one says the GHE is 33 Kelvin while the other says 134 Kelvin.   Both parties apply the same principles of physics so how can they arrive at such different answers?   The explanation lies in the assumptions that they made in an attempt to simplify their analysis. Continue reading

Posted in Climate | Tagged , , | 36 Comments

Quote of the day

 “The whole problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so certain of themselves, but wiser men so full of doubts.” (Bertrand Russell).

Well ain’t that so.

Posted in Quotes | Tagged , | 9 Comments

El Hierro eruption: climatic impacts?

On the ‘About’ thread new commenter Wyss Yim said:

An important key to understanding UK floods is what really drives the North Atlantic Oscillation. Natural or human-induced changes? For natural drivers we need to include submarine volcanic activity for switching on hot seawater. For example, the El Hierro submarine eruption off the Canary Archipelago from October 2011 to March 2012. See my article in Imperial Engineer Autumn 2013 issue.

Here’s the article written by him:

el hierro article

His hypothesis is:

Because sub-aerial volcanic eruptions and submarine volcanic eruptions are responsible for temperature, pressure and humidity changes, they may be important as triggers for weather-related events or patterns within the North Atlantic Basin.

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Posted in Volcanoes, Weather | 6 Comments

Climate of FUD

It’s not unusual to be reading a book quite unrelated to weather, climate, politics or anything to do with to global warming, when a little light goes on in the back of your brain and you think ‘oh – that’s relevant to the CAGW debate’.

It happened again today.  Continue reading

Posted in Climate, Quotes | Tagged , , , | 9 Comments

Place your bets…

This news just in…

After harsh criticism of its seasonal forecasts, and faced with further government cutbacks, the Met Office has developed an inexpensive new forecasting method.  Continue reading

Posted in Humour | Tagged , , | 25 Comments

Winter rains and continental trains

The period between mid-October and mid-November is sometimes called in weather lore “Autumn Rains and Continental Trains” as one area of low pressure after another races across the Atlantic to dump rain on the UK.  This year the trains are running late. Very late (No need for British Rail jokes).

Surf site http://magicseaweed.com/ has posted an amazing animation of approaching storms as shown by wave heights.

“In two and a bit months the North Atlantic has hardly paused in its brutal storm production line.”

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Posted in Weather | Tagged , , , | 8 Comments

Climate change increases weather

Am I allowed a touch of shadenfreude? AgainPaul Homewood and Pierre Gosselin highlight the embarrassing “Just Say Anything as long as you blame Climate Change” from Met Office Chief Dame Julia Slingo.

Last year it was drought:

colder drier winters

And don’t forget that was followed by near record rainfall in April.  Continue reading

Posted in Images, News, Uncategorized, Weather | Tagged , , | 9 Comments

Groundhog Day

It’Groundhog_Day_(movie_poster)s Groundhog Day again and I’ve a confession to make.  I’ve been trying to write something on this for the past few years.  I was trying for sort of imagined diary with apologies to the film of the same name.

Readers will of course know my love of satire and parody (Gistemp Revisited, Climate Pygmalion and A Modern Climatologist to name a few). I never got very far with this one, but enjoy the ideas.

I started out thinking of Phil Jones, or another climate luminary, reliving the day over and over, but advancing a year each time and seeing his eminence and “the Team’s” hold on the literature eroded with each year with new publications creeping in that don’t always support the settled science. He would see the fall of popular support for global warming and eventually rue his behaviour. It would have been delicious to link back to appropriate quotes from the Climategate emails, but that needed too much research.  Continue reading

Posted in CAGW, Humour | Tagged , , | 5 Comments

Judge an author by his pals

This Copernicus journal thing is a mess. I think I’m most angry that the fiasco was probably preventable.  I don’t have an opinion on the science other than ‘interesting’, as further than that I don’t feel qualified to comment, but the whole process and affair has been damaging to the extreme.

It brings up the whole pal-review/peer-review debate again.  Jo Nova has a long post: Science is not done by peer or pal review, but by evidence and reason in which I heartily agree with the following statement:

When good scientists pal review good science, we can get better science. Continue reading

Posted in Climate | Tagged , | 13 Comments